Nintendo is predicting that it’ll promote 15 million Swap 2 consoles in its present monetary 12 months — a determine that the majority analysts agree is simply too low, however that might nonetheless put it among the many fastest-selling recreation consoles of all time.
Nintendo made the forecast in a report back to buyers protecting its earlier monetary 12 months, ending in March 2025. It additionally predicted gross sales of 45 million Swap 2 video games, and 4.5 million unique Switches — which might carry the older console inside spitting distance of the all-time report held by PlayStation 2.
Earlier than the Swap 2’s $449.99 worth was introduced, and earlier than President Donald Trump’s tariffs got here into impact, analysts have been predicting gross sales of 20 million within the console’s first fiscal 12 months. These estimates have been buoyed by experiences that Nintendo would have an unprecedented stock of 6 to eight million consoles accessible on day one, which might nearly definitely result in a record-breaking launch. Since then, it’s grow to be obvious that Nintendo’s efforts to supply an sufficient provide of Swap 2s for launch have fallen quick, with the corporate admitting it gained’t be capable to meet what it calls an “astonishing” degree of demand for the console.
Even when Nintendo does promote “solely” 15 million Swap 2s in its first 10 months — the months between its June 5 launch and the tip of its fiscal 12 months in March 2026 — this might put it among the many most profitable console launches ever. The unique Swap bought 14.86 million items in an identical interval, between its March 3, 2017 launch and the tip of the calendar 12 months. Sony reported gross sales of 13.4 million PlayStation 5s by the tip of September 2021, just a little over 10 months after it went on sale (and within the face of crippling inventory shortages).
It appears just like the Swap 2 goes to be an enormous hit — tariffs or no tariffs.