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Ranking the top contenders at the 2025 French Open

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Skilled tennis is in a reasonably funky place in the meanwhile. On the lads’s aspect, top-ranked Jannik Sinner simply got here off a three-month doping suspension that, whereas virtually actually a no-fault problem on his half, left a void atop the game. Nobody actually took benefit of Sinner’s absence. Alexander Zverev had an opportunity to maneuver to No. 1 however misplaced earlier than the semifinals in seven of eight tournaments and fell to 3rd. All-time Slam champion Novak Djokovic has struggled as nicely.

On the ladies’s aspect, No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka, No. 2 Coco Gauff and No. 6 Mirra Andreeva have reached a mixed eight finals in Slams or 1000-level occasions in 2025. However Roland Garros is often Iga Swiatek’s purview; the 23-year-old has received 4 French Opens — matching Rafael Nadal’s early-career tempo — however dealt together with her personal no-fault doping suspension within the fall, and he or she has already misplaced as many matches in 2025 (9) as she did in 2024.

Can anybody within the males’s draw forestall a Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz finale? Has Swiatek’s shaky type (and a brutal draw) made Sabalenka, Gauff or Andreeva the ladies’s title favourite?

Intriguing questions abound, and the leisure ought to start proper from the beginning of a primary spherical that features matchups like 2024 Olympic gold medalist Zheng Qinwen in opposition to 2021 French Open finalist Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, defending males’s champion Alcaraz in opposition to Kei Nishikori and a battle of former top-5 girls, Elena Rybakina vs. Belinda Bencic.

There are 256 women and men within the singles fields, however on this French Open fortnight, let us take a look at 20 gamers who’ve a very good probability at profitable a number of matches.

The favorites

Carlos Alcaraz

ESPN BET odds: +105

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 7 Casper Ruud (quarterfinals)

Jannik Sinner is likely to be the very best males’s participant on this planet, however he has one fairly obtrusive flaw in the meanwhile: He cannot beat Carlos Alcaraz. The defending French Open champ has overwhelmed Sinner 4 instances in a row, together with two clay-court matchups: a five-set Alcaraz win in final 12 months’s French Open semis and a 7-6, 6-1 choice final week in Rome. Sinner was clearly nonetheless taking part in his means into form after months on the sideline, however this rivalry has grow to be more and more fascinating in that, in 12 complete conferences, the lower-ranked participant has received 9 instances. Proper now, that participant is Alcaraz.

Alcaraz involves Paris in wonderful type. After a bumpy hard-court season, he is 15-1 on clay in 2025, beating Lorenzo Musetti to win in Monte Carlo, then Jack Draper, Musetti and Sinner within the final three rounds to win in Rome. Actually, going again to final 12 months’s French Open, he has misplaced solely two of his previous 29 clay matches: to Holger Rune in Barcelona in April and to Novak Djokovic in final 12 months’s stunning Olympic gold medal match.

We’d discover out that Sinner has an additional gear to deploy this 12 months as soon as he is absolutely in match form, however proper now Alcaraz is a identified amount and the gold customary on the grime.


Jannik Sinner

ESPN BET odds: +220

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 5 Jack Draper or No. 9 Alex de Minaur (quarterfinals)

Jannik Sinner’s breakthrough started virtually precisely two years in the past. After a irritating early-round exit within the 2023 French Open, he reached the Wimbledon semis and was off to the races: He received 33 of his final 39 matches in 2023, and he is a staggering 85-7 for the reason that begin of 2024. He may not be the very best clay-court participant on this planet but — Alcaraz would possibly nonetheless declare that title — however he is the very best participant general.

And his totally ruthless 6-0, 6-1 win over Casper Ruud within the Rome quarterfinals was as dominant a victory as you will see in opposition to a top-10 participant. Ruud has made two French Open finals, however Sinner completed the match having received 76% of his personal service factors and 68% of Ruud’s.

It isn’t significantly enjoyable to root for chalk in tournaments, however the concept of a primary Sinner-Alcaraz Slam ultimate is tantalizing.


Aryna Sabalenka

ESPN BET odds: +250

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Zheng Qinwen (quarterfinals)

Contemplating Iga Swiatek has received 32 of her previous 33 French Open matches, it might be honest to simply pencil her in as the favourite irrespective of her present type. However utilizing any 2025 proof in anyway, you may need to provide the sting to the World No. 1: Aryna Sabalenka.

Sabalenka has made the finals in six of eight tournaments in 2025, plus 4 of her previous six clay-court tournaments and 5 of her previous eight Slams. She fell right into a February funk after shedding to Madison Keys within the Australian Open ultimate, dropping three of 4 matches general. In any other case she’s 33-3 in 2025. Clay might be her worst floor, nevertheless it may not matter. She would not win each ultimate she reaches, however she’s the most certainly participant to get there in any event she enters.

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Iga Swiatek

ESPN BET odds: +340

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 4 Jasmine Paolini (quarterfinals)

Iga Swiatek is on tempo to finish up as the best girls’s clay-courter ever, however her type is a query mark. She’s 0-4 this 12 months in opposition to Coco Gauff and Mirra Andreeva, and he or she didn’t make the finals of any of the three clay tournaments she entered this spring. That is the shakiest she has seemed in years. Will that matter? Or will the Iga aura return the second she walks onto Court docket Philippe-Chatrier?

The aura higher return rapidly. Swiatek may play an in-form Marta Kostyuk within the third spherical, Jelena Ostapenko (in opposition to whom she’s 0-6) or Elena Rybakina (0-2 on clay) within the fourth, 2024 finalist Jasmine Paolini within the quarterfinals, Aryna Sabalenka within the semis and Andreeva or Gauff within the finals. That may be a ridiculous draw. Higher discover the A-game rapidly.


Coco Gauff

ESPN BET odds: +550

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 7 Madison Keys or No. 9 Emma Navarro (quarterfinals)

Throughout a three-match shedding streak early within the season, Coco Gauff misplaced six straight units and was damaged 11 instances. She was damaged seven instances in a three-set win over Dayana Yastremska in Madrid and 10 instances in a three-set win over Zheng Qinwen. She’s double-faulting 8.9% of the time, and he or she’s profitable simply 42.3% of her second-serve factors, her lowest price since 2020.

Gauff can also be the No. 2 participant on this planet, having reached the finals in Madrid and Rome. She has swept Mirra Andreeva twice previously month. She’s returning serve in addition to ever, and till a defective ultimate in opposition to Jasmine Paolini, her serve was regular and powerful in Rome. When Aryna Sabalenka misplaced management of her serve in 2021, the remainder of her recreation improved to compensate, and when she conquered her serve once more in 2022, she was a totally totally different participant. It is not possible to not assume the identical factor would possibly occur with Gauff at some point. It would have already got began.


Mirra Andreeva

ESPN BET odds: +600

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 10 Paula Badosa (fourth spherical)

She hasn’t discovered Coco Gauff but, however in any other case, Mirra Andreeva is means forward of schedule. Between her seventeenth and 18th birthdays, she beat Aryna Sabalenka to succeed in the French Open semis and received back-to-back 1000-level tournaments in Dubai and Indian Wells. She was ranked forty third when she turned 17 and was seventh when she turned 18. She’s 20-4 since mid-February, and her serve numbers are skyrocketing. She’s absorbing classes and bettering at each flip.

No Slam path is simple, however Andreeva’s is not unhealthy. She may play Ashlyn Krueger (who upset her in final 12 months’s US Open) within the second spherical and Paula Badosa or Naomi Osaka within the fourth. However, as we stated, she’s 20-4 since mid-February. The holes in her recreation are closing rapidly.


Solely want a couple of breaks

Novak Djokovic

ESPN BET odds: +1100

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 3 Alexander Zverev (quarterfinals)

“Underdog Novak Djokovic.” It simply by no means fairly sounds proper. And technically, it actually is not appropriate. Per ESPN BET, the 38-year-old remains to be the No. 3 favourite within the event, and per Tennis Summary’s energy scores, he is nonetheless the third-best participant on this planet — behind Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz.

However Djokovic hasn’t supplied a ton of proof of that recently. Earlier than getting into the Geneva event this week, he was 0-3 on clay in 2025 and simply 5-6 since his damage retirement on the Australian Open.

Successful some matches in Geneva, then returning to the best-of-five format that has lengthy been his specialty, may spark one other French Open run for the best participant of all time. However the considered him beating Alexander Zverev (quarterfinals), Sinner (semis) and Alcaraz (finals) positive looks like quite a bit to ask.


Jasmine Paolini

ESPN BET odds: +1400

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 5 Iga Swiatek (quarterfinals)

It was straightforward to underestimate 5-foot-4 Jasmine Paolini at first. She did not actually take pleasure in a profession breakthrough till age 28, when she reached the 2024 French Open finals. However as a substitute of serving as a one-off in her profession, it served to shift her into a brand new gear. She reached the Wimbledon ultimate, too, and whereas onerous courts actually aren’t her factor — she’s simply 22-13 on the floor over the previous 12 months — she’s 10-2 on clay in 2025. She received Rome final week, and he or she has overwhelmed Coco Gauff twice in straight units. She’s prepared for one more run.

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Alexander Zverev

ESPN BET odds: +1400

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 6 Novak Djokovic (quarterfinals)

It has been a disappointing 12 months for 28-year-old Alexander Zverev, who was poised to succeed in No. 1 for the primary time and as a substitute performed shakier and shakier tennis till No. 1 was now not an possibility. Nonetheless, he received the Munich title in April and has reached the French Open semifinals for 4 straight years. He took Carlos Alcaraz to 5 units in final 12 months’s ultimate.

Zverev can play sufferball with the very best of them, although he struggles on clay to grind his well past Jannik Sinner (he is 0-2 since Sinner’s 2024 breakthrough) or Alcaraz (to whom he has misplaced 10 of 13 units on clay).


Zheng Qinwen

ESPN BET odds: +1800

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (quarterfinals)

Zheng Qinwen, 22, reached her first Slam ultimate in 2024 (Australian Open), then beat Iga Swiatek at Roland Garros on the best way to Olympic gold final summer time. Since a bumpy winter run, she has reached 4 quarterfinals and one semi since March, and he or she simply beat Aryna Sabalenka for the primary time (in Rome).

Like Coco Gauff, Zheng struggled together with her serve within the 12 months’s early months, however she’s returning higher than ever. She does, nonetheless, have a doubtlessly tough first-round matchup with 2021 finalist Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, who beat her final 12 months of their solely encounter.


Lorenzo Musetti

ESPN BET odds: +2200

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 10 Holger Rune (fourth spherical)

Few gamers on the lads’s aspect are as in-form because the Italian, who reached the finals in Monte Carlo and the semis in Madrid and Rome. He wobbled a bit within the early months of 2025, however the 2024 Olympic bronze medalist (and Wimbledon semifinalist) is a hell of a shotmaker. He is simply 2-16 in opposition to Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic however is able to taking down anybody else within the discipline.


Casper Ruud

ESPN BET odds: +3300

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz (quarterfinals)

Casper Ruud has made it previous the fourth spherical of 4 Slams, three of which have been French Opens. He has made it to the finals of three 1000-level occasions, two of which have been on clay. The 26-year-old makes use of closely torqued topspin to push opponents behind the baseline on clay, and he is 16-3 over the previous three years at Roland Garros. The jarring loss to Jannik Sinner was a reminder that he may need a decrease ceiling than others, however the nine-match profitable streak that preceded the loss was a reminder that his flooring on clay is kind of excessive.


Jessica Pegula

ESPN BET odds: +4000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 6 Mirra Andreeva or No. 10 Paula Badosa (quarterfinals)

Jessica Pegula has handed the third spherical of the French Open solely as soon as, however the 2024 US Open finalist stays one in all tennis’ steadiest forces. She has reached 4 finals in 2025, profitable two, and one was on the clay in Charleston. She has dropped three of 5 matches since that win in South Carolina, however she continues to hoover up tour factors and ranks third on this planet.

Others: Elena Rybakina (+3300), Elina Svitolina (+3300), Jelena Ostapenko (+4000), Jack Draper (+4000), Paula Badosa (+4000), Madison Keys (+5000), Francisco Cerundolo (+5000), Daniil Medvedev (+5000), Belinda Bencic (+5000)


They love Roland Garros

Holger Rune

ESPN BET odds: +4000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Lorenzo Musetti (fourth spherical)

Nonetheless solely 22, Holger Rune has reached three Slam quarterfinals, and two have been in Paris (2022, 2023). He has battled minor damage and main inconsistency, however he is a superb 6-4 in opposition to top-5 gamers on clay and swept Carlos Alcaraz, 7-6, 6-2, to win Barcelona in April. You would possibly find yourself pissed off whether or not you wager on him or in opposition to him.


Stefanos Tsitsipas

ESPN BET odds: +5000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz (fourth spherical)

There are many gamers with French Open success on their résumé, and so lots of them have battled spotty type of late. Take Stefanos Tsitsipas. The 2021 finalist, who led Novak Djokovic by two units in that ultimate earlier than succumbing from there, has reached the previous two French Open quarterfinals, however they’re the one quarters he has reached in his previous eight Slams.

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He is all the way down to twentieth on this planet, and misplaced three of his previous 5 matches. He hasn’t overwhelmed a top-10 opponent on any floor for over a 12 months. If Tsitsipas goes to seek out fifth gear once more, it’s going to be in Paris.

Others: Alex de Minaur (+5000, 2024 quarterfinalist), Ons Jabeur (+5000, two-time quarterfinalist), Karolina Muchova (+5000, 2023 finalist), Maria Sakkari (+5000, 2021 semifinalist), Donna Vekic (+6600, 2024 Olympic silver medalist), Grigor Dimitrov (+6600, 2024 quarterfinalist), Beatriz Haddad Maia (+6600, 2023 semifinalist), Daria Kasatkina (+6600, 2022 semifinalist), Barbora Krejcikova (+6600, 2021 champion), Sofia Kenin (+6600, 2020 finalist), Marketa Vondrousova (+6600, 2019 finalist), Stan Wawrinka (+6600, 2015 champion)


Probably the most well-positioned Individuals not named Gauff or Pegula

Peyton Stearns

ESPN BET odds: +5000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 8 Qinwen Zheng (third spherical)

Coco Gauff is clearly the most certainly American to win a title at Roland Garros, and Jessica Pegula’s excessive flooring in all probability retains her second on the checklist. However 23-year-old Peyton Stearns, a former Texas Longhorn, positive appears to love the burnt orange floor. Her previous 4 semifinals at any stage have come on clay, and her run to the Rome semifinals bumped her as much as a career-high twenty eighth on this planet. In her previous 10 clay matches, she has received eight and misplaced solely to Jasmine Paolini and Aryna Sabalenka.


Tommy Paul

ESPN BET odds: +6600

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 7 Casper Ruud (fourth spherical)

There are 4 American males seeded within the prime 15 and 7 seeded general, led by No. 5 Taylor Fritz and 12-seed Tommy Paul. However these seven males are a mixed 32-34 at Roland Garros, and solely Fritz (2024) and Sebastian Korda (2020) have reached even the fourth spherical. Over the previous 12 months, nonetheless, Paul has received 52.9% of his factors on clay — seventh finest on this planet and simply the many of the American males. He has overwhelmed three top-25 opponents in his previous two clay occasions and misplaced solely to Jack Draper and Jannik Sinner. Paul is likely to be primed for a run.

Different Individuals: Emma Navarro (+5000), Amanda Anisimova (+5000), Taylor Fritz (+6600), Danielle Collins (+6600), Sebastian Korda (+6600), Ben Shelton (+10000), Frances Tiafoe (+10000)


The unluckiest

Naomi Osaka

ESPN BET odds: +5000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 10 Paula Badosa (first spherical)

If you’re making an attempt to reestablish your rating after a tour absence, you want the luck of the draw. Naomi Osaka has not gotten that. Since returning to the tour in 2024, she has performed in 5 Slams and drawn top-20 opponents twice within the first spherical and twice within the second.

Osaka got here nearer than anybody to beating Iga Swiatek in Paris final 12 months however solely obtained second-round factors for it. She beat No. 20 Karolina Muchova within the Australian Open second spherical however needed to withdraw from the third with damage. And oh look: She drew Paula Badosa within the first spherical in Paris. Ugh. Osaka clearly has large upside, and is 8-1 on clay this 12 months, however she’s nonetheless trying to find a Slam breakthrough.


The children

Jakub Mensik

ESPN BET odds: +5000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 9 Alex de Minaur (third spherical)

It is the 12 months of the Teen, with 5 23-and-under males ranked within the prime 10 and eight within the prime 19. In Jannik Sinner’s absence, two of those gamers received 1000-level occasions: Jack Draper in Indian Wells and Jakub Mensik, a 6-foot-4, 19-year-old, in Miami. Mensik is highly effective and has received 5 of his previous seven matches on clay. On the very least, he ought to give Alex de Minaur a troublesome first-week check. He may make Sinner work within the quarterfinals, too.


Marta Kostyuk

ESPN BET odds: +5000

First potential top-10 opponent: No. 5 Iga Swiatek (third spherical)

As an 18-year-old in 2021, Marta Kostyuk walloped former French Open champion Garbine Muguruza at Roland Garros on the best way to the fourth spherical, the place she made Iga Swiatek work fairly a bit, too. She has received just one French Open match since, however is unbeaten on clay in 2025 in opposition to gamers not named Aryna Sabalenka. If nothing else, she may loom as a troublesome early check for Swiatek.

Others: Arthur Fils (+5000), Diana Shnaider (+5000), Emma Raducanu (+5000), Joao Fonseca (+6600), Linda Noskova (+6600), Clara Tauson (+6600)

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